Monday, January 21, 2008

Real Clear Politics

This the most engaging election since I've been of age, because

A. A minority and a woman both have a legitimate shot.
B. The republican race is a cluster
C. My guy has been rallying

Anyway, this has quickly become my source of daily analysis, opinions and polls:


cardinal23 said...

McCain - Pawlenty '08!

w1ndst0rm said...

McCain is the only politician I have ever given money. I have the autographed picture to prove it too.

My fear is the fact that the vocal (minority) in the pary hates McCain as a canidate and they consider Pawlenty, from blue MN, a R.H.I.N.O. They are already working against anyone that isn't Romney or Thompson.

Plus, IIRC, a Senator hasn't won the Executive post in atleast 38 years.

Qhorin said...

I think Guliani's poorly chosen gambit has meant more moderate/maverick votes for McCain. In the other hand, Thompson dropping out means Romney gets a huge bump.

Wolf said...

I think any leftover Thompson votes gravitate to Huckabee. Those two were the guys with the heavy conservative credentials, Romney's recent conversion notwithstanding.

I think it's entirely possible that the Republicans could go to St. Paul with no candidate having 50% of the delegates, resulting in the first open convention in decades.

w1ndst0rm said...

FYI, Tom and Huck are from very different parts of the tent. I doubt the Tom votes would go to Huck. Hawk votes dont go populist.

Wolf said...

I have to disagree. Thompson and Huckabee were the only Republicans who had solid credentials on the hot-button social issues that bring out the religious vote (present company excluded). e.g. abortion, gun control, gay rights.

w1ndst0rm said...

Whay you say is true but this time around there are actually bigger hot button issues than the ones you pointed out. Those being illegal immigration, taxation and govt spending/size of government. Tom and Huck were on opposite sides of those issues.

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