This the most engaging election since I've been of age, because
A. A minority and a woman both have a legitimate shot.
B. The republican race is a cluster
C. My guy has been rallying
Anyway, this has quickly become my source of daily analysis, opinions and polls:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/
McCain - Pawlenty '08!
ReplyDeleteMcCain is the only politician I have ever given money. I have the autographed picture to prove it too.
ReplyDeleteMy fear is the fact that the vocal (minority) in the pary hates McCain as a canidate and they consider Pawlenty, from blue MN, a R.H.I.N.O. They are already working against anyone that isn't Romney or Thompson.
Plus, IIRC, a Senator hasn't won the Executive post in atleast 38 years.
I think Guliani's poorly chosen gambit has meant more moderate/maverick votes for McCain. In the other hand, Thompson dropping out means Romney gets a huge bump.
ReplyDeleteI think any leftover Thompson votes gravitate to Huckabee. Those two were the guys with the heavy conservative credentials, Romney's recent conversion notwithstanding.
ReplyDeleteI think it's entirely possible that the Republicans could go to St. Paul with no candidate having 50% of the delegates, resulting in the first open convention in decades.
FYI, Tom and Huck are from very different parts of the tent. I doubt the Tom votes would go to Huck. Hawk votes dont go populist.
ReplyDeleteI have to disagree. Thompson and Huckabee were the only Republicans who had solid credentials on the hot-button social issues that bring out the religious vote (present company excluded). e.g. abortion, gun control, gay rights.
ReplyDeleteWhay you say is true but this time around there are actually bigger hot button issues than the ones you pointed out. Those being illegal immigration, taxation and govt spending/size of government. Tom and Huck were on opposite sides of those issues.
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